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Last updated November 9, 2026. By Steven J. Thomas, Broker, Refind Realty DFW · Loan Officer, Envision Home Lenders, NMLS #689220
No. A year of waiting left Red Oak buyers worse off. The median sold price rose 8.0% to $382,495 (NTREIS, September 2026), and the 30-year rate rose from 6.17% to 7.18% (Freddie Mac). Principal and interest on 20% down went from $1,729 to $2,073, up $344 a month.
Most buyers expect that waiting for a lower rate means a cheaper house. In Red Oak the price did not wait with you. Here is the math on both numbers, so you can decide with a payment in front of you instead of a hunch.
Waiting is a bet on two moving numbers at once: the rate and the price. Over the last year both moved against the buyer who sat out. The rate added $189 a month and the higher price added another $155. Together that is $4,128 a year more for the same kind of house.
| Scenario (20% down) | Rate | Price | Principal and interest | APR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2025 median | 6.17% | $354,000 | $1,729 | 6.24% |
| Same house, today's rate | 7.18% | $354,000 | $1,918 | 7.26% |
| September 2026 median | 7.18% | $382,495 | $2,073 | 7.26% |
| Rate drops a half point | 6.68% | $382,495 | $1,970 | 6.75% |
| Rate drops a full point | 6.18% | $382,495 | $1,870 | 6.25% |
Sources: median sold prices from the NTREIS Monthly MLS Summary Report, September 2026. Rates from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey: 6.17% on October 30, 2025 and 7.18% on November 5, 2026. Example math, not a rate quote. The APR assumes $1,495 in lender fees, no points, 15 days of prepaid interest and no mortgage insurance. Payments exclude taxes, insurance and HOA dues.
A caution on the decimals: Red Oak had 17 closed sales in September, and a median on that few sales swings with the mix of homes. Use the direction, not the decimal.
A half-point drop saves about $103 a month on the $382,495 median. A full-point drop saves about $203 a month. Those are real savings, and they are smaller than the $344 the last year added. A rate drop does not take you back to 2025 payments.
A price rise of about $41,500, or roughly 11%, would cancel the $203 monthly savings from a full-point drop. Red Oak's median rose 8.0% in the last year. Based on current conditions, a buyer who waits for a lower rate is betting prices stay flat while rates fall. That is the whole bet.
Red Oak homes closed at 95.8% of list price in September, about $16,800 under asking on the median (NTREIS, September 2026). Supply sits at 4.5 months, up from 3.2 a year ago, which is a balanced market. That room to negotiate is available at today's rate, and it is a payment you control.
The pace tells the same story. Red Oak homes took a median 58 days to sell in September, down from 77, and 83 homes were active against 18 pending (NTREIS). Homes priced to the last closed sales move. Homes priced to hope sit. If you want the full picture on where Red Oak prices are headed, read are Red Oak home prices going up in 2026.
Buy the payment you can carry today, and treat a lower rate as a refinance option later. Ask the seller for a concession toward a rate buydown or closing costs, since sellers are closing below ask. Get your numbers before you shop so you know your real ceiling. The refinance break-even math for Red Oak buyers shows how to judge a future refinance. Another Ellis County town ran the same test: see what waiting cost Waxahachie buyers.
Waiting for rates is a losing bet, and in Red Oak the last year proved it. Get pre-approved and see your real Red Oak payment.
Rates have eased three weeks in a row. Freddie Mac reported 7.40% on October 8, 7.24% on October 29 and 7.18% on November 5. The next weekly reading comes Thursday, November 12. Rates can move either way from here.
Often, yes. A refinance has closing costs, so the savings have to outrun them. Your lender can run the break-even on the day you ask. Nobody can promise that rates will drop.
Up. The median sold price rose from $354,000 to $382,495 between September 2025 and September 2026 (NTREIS). Several nearby towns moved the other way, so each town needs its own look.
Balanced. Red Oak has 4.5 months of supply (NTREIS, September 2026), which sits in the 4 to 6 month balanced range. Priced-right homes still sell, and buyers still have room to negotiate.
The payments above are principal and interest only. Property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and any mortgage insurance come on top. Your lender quotes the full payment for a specific address.
About the author. Steven J. Thomas holds a financial planning degree from Baylor University and has more than 20 years in financial services. He is the Broker at Refind Realty DFW (TREC Broker License #0657467) and a Loan Officer at Envision Home Lenders (NMLS #689220), based in DeSoto, TX. Call or text 972-846-9170.
Data is based on current conditions and is not a guarantee of future prices, rates or outcomes. Rate and payment figures are examples, not a loan offer or rate quote. The Texas Real Estate Commission's Information About Brokerage Services and Consumer Protection Notice are available on request. Refind Realty DFW is an equal housing opportunity business.

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I used this realtor and it was a great experience. He was patient and very helpful with our journey. He also helped us find a great lender with little hassle on the process, also got us approved for well above the market of our original home so we were able to get more house with a lower mortgage rate. So to anyone who is interested in buying a home take my advice give Steven a call. It’s worth it 😁


Steve was absolutely amazing! Everything was easy! Very professional in all aspects. Punctual, responsive, and diligent. He goes above and beyond to ensure you get to see as many homes as you’d like no matter the location. Not only was he knowledgeable about home buying, he also has a resourceful network for new home owner needs. I recommend Refind Realty to everyone!


I definitely recommend Steven to assist with your home buying needs. As a first time home buyer the process can be overwhelming, but as my realtor he was knowledgeable & patient while addressing my concerns and assisting me with my new home purchase. Thanks again Steven!! :-)

When buying or selling a home, there are so many options…which can also present a lot of obstacles. Laws change, forms change, and practices change all the time in the real estate industry. Because it’s our job to stay on top of those things, hiring a realtor reduces risk, and can also save you a lot of money in the long run.
When you work with me as your Realtor, you’re getting an expert who knows the area; knows how to skillfully guide your experience as a seller or buyer; can easily spot the difference between a good deal and a great deal. My job is to translate your dream into a real estate reality, and I work hard to earn and keep my business. This also means earning your trust: When you work with me, you’ll be working with a realtor who looks out for your best interests and is invested in your goals.
There are two different types of loans conventional loans and government-backed loans. The main difference is who insures these loans:
1 - Government-backed loans (FHA, VA and USDA):
(a) - Are, unsurprisingly, backed by the government.
(b) - Include FHA loans, VA loans, and USDA loans.
(c) - Make up less than 40 percent of the home loans generated in the U.S. each year.
2 - Conventional loans
(a) - Are not backed by the government.
(b) - Include conforming and non-conforming loans (such as jumbo loans).
(c) - Make up more than 60 percent of the loans generated in the U.S. each year.
1 - FHA LOANS:
FHA loans, which are insured by the Federal Housing Administration, are typically designed to meet the needs of first-time homebuyers with low or moderate incomes. FHA loans can be approved with a down payment of as little as 3.5 percent and a credit score as low as 580.
FHA loans are often called “helper loans,” because they give a leg up to potential borrowers who may not be able to secure one otherwise. For this reason, FHA loans have maximum lending limits, which are determined based on housing values for the county where the for-sale home is located.
Because the agency is taking on more risk by insuring FHA loans, the borrower is expected to pay mortgage insurance both at the time of closing and on a monthly basis, and the property must be owner-occupied.
2 - VA LOANS:
VA loans are backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs and they are guaranteed to qualified veterans and active-duty personnel and their spouses. VA loans can be approved with 100 percent financing, meaning VA borrowers are not required to make a down payment.
Unlike FHA loans, borrowers do not have to pay mortgage insurance on VA loans.
3 - USDA LOANS:
You may also hear about USDA loans, which are backed by the United States Department of Agriculture mortgage program. USDA loans are intended to support homeowners who purchase homes in rural and some suburban areas. USDA loans do not require a down payment and may offer lower interest rates; borrowers may have to pay a small mortgage insurance premium in order to offset the lender’s risk.
Buyers who have a more established credit history and a larger down payment may prefer to apply for a conventional loan. These loans may offer a lower interest rate and only require the home buyer to purchase monthly mortgage insurance while the loan-to-value ratio is above a certain percentage, so a conventional loan borrower can typically save money in the long run.
Conventional loans are divided into two types: Conforming loans and non-conforming loans.
1 - CONFORMING LOANS:
Conforming loans are those that meet (or conform to) predetermined standards set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — two government-sponsored institutions that buy and sell mortgages on the secondary market. By selling the loans to "Fannie and Freddie," lenders can free up their capital and return to issue more mortgages than if they had to personally back every loan that they approve.
The main standard for conforming loans is that the amount borrowed must be under a certain amount; in Alaska, a single-family home loan must be under $647,200 in order to be considered conforming.
Properties with more than one unit have higher limits.
2 - NON-CONFORMING (JUMBO) LOANS:
But what happens if a borrower wants to borrow more than the Freddie- and Fannie-approved loan amount? In this case, they would have to apply for a “jumbo loan,” which is the most common type of non-conforming loan.
Because the lender cannot resell the jumbo loan (or any non-conforming loan) to Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, jumbo loans are considered to be riskier than a conforming loan. To protect against this risk, the bank will typically require a higher down payment; the interest rate on a jumbo loan may also be higher than if the same borrower applied for a conforming loan.
Rate types: Fixed-rate vs. adjustable-rate mortgages.
In addition to the loan type you choose, you’ll also have to determine if you want a fixed-rate mortgage or an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). A fixed-rate mortgage has an interest rate that does not change for the life of the loan, so it provides predictable monthly payments of principal and interest.
An adjustable-rate mortgage typically offers an initial introductory period with a low-interest rate. Once this period is over, the interest rate adjusts periodically, based on the market index. The initial interest rate on an ARM can sometimes be locked in for different periods, such as one, three, five, seven, or 10 years. Once the introductory period is over, the interest rate typically readjusts annually.
Site: stevenjthomas.com
Call :(972) 846-9170
Email: [email protected]
Office 128 S Cockrell Hill Rd, DeSoto, TX 75115
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Refind Realty Inc · 128 S Cockrell Hill Rd, DeSoto, TX 75115 · (972) 846-9170
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