You're Always At Home With Refind Realty.

Serving Your DFW Real Estate Needs Since 2005.

We Help You Buy and Sell in The Greater Dallas-Fort Worth Area.

Check Out Our Social Media Channels!

Buying in DFW

Buying your first or next home should be a rewarding and exciting time in your life, and one that you look back on with fond memories.

Thinking Of selling?

The market has changed a lot and I'd love to show you the exact strategy I use to get sellers in DFW top dollar for their property.

Get Pre-Approved

Let me walk you through the entire pre-approval process so you know exactly how much home you can afford.

Sign Up For my

Email List

My emails are a great way to stay up-to-date with local news and real estate market trends, even if you're not currently in the market. So, come on and join me to stay in the loop!

affordability Calculator

Get pre-approved to know exactly how much house you can afford. Use this calculator to get a quick estimate. Contact me for assistance!

DFW New Construction

Discover the latest new home constructions in DFW and take advantage of the builder incentives that are available now.

Steven J. Thomas

Let's Make Your real estate Dreams Come True.

Newest Listings

Call Me Today At (713) 505-2280

Refind Realty Blog:

Refind Realty
A conceptual map of the U.S. showing migration arrows from coastal Florida and California pointing toward a booming Dallas-Fort Worth skyline, symbolizing 2026 climate migration trends.

Climate Migration: Shaping North Texas Housing Demand (2026) | Refind Realty DFW

March 18, 20263 min read

The Effect of "Climate Migration" on North Texas Housing Demand

A conceptual map of the U.S. showing migration arrows from coastal Florida and California pointing toward a booming Dallas-Fort Worth skyline, symbolizing 2026 climate migration trends.

Direct Answer

In March 2026, "Climate Migration" is responsible for a significant portion of the 1.08% annual population increase in DFW, as nearly half of American homeowners consider moving to escape extreme weather risks. With approximately 21% of homeowners avoiding Texas due to its own heat and storm volatility, the DFW market is seeing a "selective" surge: inward migration is heavily dominated by residents from California (52%) and Florida (58%) who are fleeing escalating insurance costs—which have risen 24% nationwide—and sea-level threats. For these relocators, North Texas offers "relative resilience," and its demand is manifesting in a 14% projected increase in home sales for 2026 as buyers prioritize inland stability and "Y'all Street" economic opportunities over vulnerable coastal assets.

Book your Home Goals consultation to see our 2026 "Resilience Map" and identify DFW neighborhoods with the highest climate-adaptation ratings: https://stevenjthomas.com/home-goals


The Great Recalibration: Why DFW is Winning the 'Resilience Race'

The 2026 housing market is defined by a "Great Recalibration" where 83% of buyers now consider climate risks before signing a contract. In DFW, this has led to a surge in demand for "Class A" amenity-rich environments that offer both economic and physical security.

While North Texas experiences intense summer heat, the region's lack of "catastrophic sea-level risk" makes it a preferred haven for institutional capital and corporate headquarters—over 100 of which moved to DFW between 2018 and 2024. This influx of "climate-conscious capital" is specifically driving the development of mixed-use, walkable districts like Uptown and Legacy, which are designed with modern, energy-efficient infrastructure to mitigate local temperature extremes.

The Insurance 'Push' Factor

Perhaps the most potent driver of 2026 climate migration isn't the weather itself, but the cost of insuring against it. Nationwide, insurance premiums are projected to increase another 16% by 2027, and 31% of homeowners are no longer confident they can maintain adequate coverage.

In DFW, while hail and wind insurance remain high, they lack the "uninsurable" status now facing many coastal zip codes. This disparity is fueling a "thaw" in the North Texas market, where inventory is rising 8.9% as homeowners from high-risk states sell their coastal assets to lock in the relative affordability and "predictable" risk profile of the North Texas suburbs.

2026 Trends: From 'Zoom Towns' to 'Resilient Ranches'

The profile of the 2026 climate migrant in DFW has evolved into two distinct categories.

  • The Remote 'Resilients': Wealthier Americans are increasingly moving to DFW's outer-ring "Zoom Towns". These areas offer the high-speed connectivity and space required for remote work while providing a break from the coastal "bomb cyclones" and flooding that are plaguing the West Coast in early 2026.

  • The Gen Z Surge: Texas has become the No. 1 destination for Generation Z, with net migration nearly double that of the next closest state. This demographic is moving to DFW not just for jobs, but for "functional sustainability"—seeking a region where long-term property ownership feels viable despite global climate volatility.


Conclusion

In 2026, "Climate Migration" is the invisible hand guiding DFW's growth. While the region is not immune to environmental shifts, its role as a top migration hub for those fleeing coastal instability has created a permanent new floor for housing demand. For the 2026 DFW homeowner, value is no longer just about square footage or school districts; it is about the long-term resilience of the land itself.


Key Takeaways

  • Migration Driver: 49% of homeowners are considering moving in 2026 specifically to escape extreme weather risks.

  • DFW Appeal: The metroplex attracts 30% of all interstate relocators seeking affordability and sustainability.

  • Inventory Shift: DFW inventory is rising to 5.2 months of supply, creating a more balanced "buyer-friendly" environment for those relocating.

  • The Financial Pivot: Climate-resiliency and modern building strategies are now critical for protecting long-term property valuations in the DFW market.

Custom HTML/CSS/JAVASCRIPT
climate migration North Texas housing demand 2026DFW real estate climate trends 2026inland migration to TexasNorth Texas population growth forecast 2026climate-resilient neighborhoods Dallasinsurance impact on DFW housing.
Back to Blog

Stay Informed With My Downloadable

Buyer and Seller guides

6 Smart Ways to Build Home Equity

6 Smart Ways to Build Home Equity

7 Insider Secrets To Selling Your Home w/o a Lot of Time or Money

7 Insider Secrets To Selling Your Home w/o a Lot of Time or Money

DFW Home Seller Negotiation Secrets

DFW Home Seller Negotiation Secrets

Home Appraisals Guide

Home Appraisals Guide

Avoiding Pitfalls That Can Derail Your Home's Sale

Avoiding Pitfalls That Can Derail Your Home's Sale

Ultimate Guide To Buying a Home

Ultimate Guide To Buying a Home

A First Time Homebuyers Guide In DFW

A First Time Homebuyers Guide In DFW

Are You Ready To Buy?

Are You Ready To Buy?

25 Insider Secrets To Buying A Home

25 Insider Secrets To Buying A Home

How to Improve Your Credit

How to Improve Your Credit

Download All My Guides For Free

Steven J Thomas

Steven J. Thomas

Steven J. Thomas has been in the financial services industry for the past 19 years and started my career as a Financial Planner for American Express Financial Advisors. I entered into banking with JP Morgan Chase as personal banker in 2003 and was promoted several times up to Small Business Specialist. I earned multiple Million Dollar Club awards and was ranked in the top 5 Small Business Specialist before I branched out in 2005 to start my own Financial Management Company. I ran a successful company before family circumstances lead me to Wachovia Bank in 2008 where I worked as a Senior Financial Specialist. As a Sr. Financial Specialist; I was responsible for the P & L and revenue growth of my banking center. The elimination of my role thru a bank merger lead me to BBVA Compass. I have held various leadership roles at BBVA Compass including Personal Relationship Manager, Branch Retail Executive, Workplace Solutions VP, and his current role as a Retail Manager. As the Regional Workplace Solutions VP, I was responsible for the strategic, tactical, and execution of Partnership Banking relationships, promotion and activity with corporate and non-profit companies in my footprint. I was responsible for the acquisition production for three districts, which includes 51 banking centers and over 300 employees. In May of 2014, I joined the team at Refind Realty and became one of the managing partners in mid-2015.

dallas real estate agent

Wondering What Your DFW Home Could Be Worth in 2026?

Get a Professional Home Valuation From A Local Market Expert

  • Unlock insights into potential selling prices.

  • Get a personalized analysis sent directly to your inbox.

  • Stay ahead with updates on property value fluctuations.

  • Benchmark your property against neighborhood listings.

Get a FREE Home Valuation And Potential Net Sheet:

Unable to find form
succesfull real estate agent testimonials

I used this realtor and it was a great experience. He was patient and very helpful with our journey. He also helped us find a great lender with little hassle on the process, also got us approved for well above the market of our original home so we were able to get more house with a lower mortgage rate. So to anyone who is interested in buying a home take my advice give Steven a call. It’s worth it 😁

Bryant Loring

Steve was absolutely amazing! Everything was easy! Very professional in all aspects. Punctual, responsive, and diligent. He goes above and beyond to ensure you get to see as many homes as you’d like no matter the location. Not only was he knowledgeable about home buying, he also has a resourceful network for new home owner needs. I recommend Refind Realty to everyone!

Nicholas Bishop

I definitely recommend Steven to assist with your home buying needs. As a first time home buyer the process can be overwhelming, but as my realtor he was knowledgeable & patient while addressing my concerns and assisting me with my new home purchase. Thanks again Steven!! :-)

Gayle Mason

Ask Us Anything

Frequently Asked Questions

Why do you need a Realtor?

When buying or selling a home, there are so many options…which can also present a lot of obstacles. Laws change, forms change, and practices change all the time in the real estate industry. Because it’s our job to stay on top of those things, hiring a realtor reduces risk, and can also save you a lot of money in the long run.

When you work with me as your Realtor, you’re getting an expert who knows the area; knows how to skillfully guide your experience as a seller or buyer; can easily spot the difference between a good deal and a great deal. My job is to translate your dream into a real estate reality, and I work hard to earn and keep my business. This also means earning your trust: When you work with me, you’ll be working with a realtor who looks out for your best interests and is invested in your goals.

Which loan should you choose?

There are two different types of loans conventional loans and government-backed loans. The main difference is who insures these loans:

1 - Government-backed loans (FHA, VA and USDA):

(a) - Are, unsurprisingly, backed by the government.

(b) - Include FHA loans, VA loans, and USDA loans.

(c) - Make up less than 40 percent of the home loans generated in the U.S. each year.

2 - Conventional loans

(a) - Are not backed by the government.

(b) - Include conforming and non-conforming loans (such as jumbo loans).

(c) - Make up more than 60 percent of the loans generated in the U.S. each year.

What is the difference between FHA, VA and USDA loans?

1 - FHA LOANS:

FHA loans, which are insured by the Federal Housing Administration, are typically designed to meet the needs of first-time homebuyers with low or moderate incomes. FHA loans can be approved with a down payment of as little as 3.5 percent and a credit score as low as 580.

FHA loans are often called “helper loans,” because they give a leg up to potential borrowers who may not be able to secure one otherwise. For this reason, FHA loans have maximum lending limits, which are determined based on housing values for the county where the for-sale home is located.

Because the agency is taking on more risk by insuring FHA loans, the borrower is expected to pay mortgage insurance both at the time of closing and on a monthly basis, and the property must be owner-occupied.

2 - VA LOANS:

VA loans are backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs and they are guaranteed to qualified veterans and active-duty personnel and their spouses. VA loans can be approved with 100 percent financing, meaning VA borrowers are not required to make a down payment.

Unlike FHA loans, borrowers do not have to pay mortgage insurance on VA loans.

3 - USDA LOANS:

You may also hear about USDA loans, which are backed by the United States Department of Agriculture mortgage program. USDA loans are intended to support homeowners who purchase homes in rural and some suburban areas. USDA loans do not require a down payment and may offer lower interest rates; borrowers may have to pay a small mortgage insurance premium in order to offset the lender’s risk.

What’s a conventional loan? Understanding what it means to be conforming and non-conforming

Buyers who have a more established credit history and a larger down payment may prefer to apply for a conventional loan. These loans may offer a lower interest rate and only require the home buyer to purchase monthly mortgage insurance while the loan-to-value ratio is above a certain percentage, so a conventional loan borrower can typically save money in the long run.

Conventional loans are divided into two types: Conforming loans and non-conforming loans.

1 - CONFORMING LOANS:

Conforming loans are those that meet (or conform to) predetermined standards set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — two government-sponsored institutions that buy and sell mortgages on the secondary market. By selling the loans to "Fannie and Freddie," lenders can free up their capital and return to issue more mortgages than if they had to personally back every loan that they approve.

The main standard for conforming loans is that the amount borrowed must be under a certain amount; in Alaska, a single-family home loan must be under $647,200 in order to be considered conforming.

Properties with more than one unit have higher limits.

2 - NON-CONFORMING (JUMBO) LOANS:

But what happens if a borrower wants to borrow more than the Freddie- and Fannie-approved loan amount? In this case, they would have to apply for a “jumbo loan,” which is the most common type of non-conforming loan.

Because the lender cannot resell the jumbo loan (or any non-conforming loan) to Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, jumbo loans are considered to be riskier than a conforming loan. To protect against this risk, the bank will typically require a higher down payment; the interest rate on a jumbo loan may also be higher than if the same borrower applied for a conforming loan.

What kind of rate should you choose?

Rate types: Fixed-rate vs. adjustable-rate mortgages.

In addition to the loan type you choose, you’ll also have to determine if you want a fixed-rate mortgage or an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). A fixed-rate mortgage has an interest rate that does not change for the life of the loan, so it provides predictable monthly payments of principal and interest.

An adjustable-rate mortgage typically offers an initial introductory period with a low-interest rate. Once this period is over, the interest rate adjusts periodically, based on the market index. The initial interest rate on an ARM can sometimes be locked in for different periods, such as one, three, five, seven, or 10 years. Once the introductory period is over, the interest rate typically readjusts annually.

Locate Us

Site: www.stevenjthomas.com

Call :(713) 505-2280

Office 128 S. Cockrell Hill Rd, DeSoto TX 75115

Owned and Operated by Thomas & Thomas Financial Group, LLC

© Copyright 2022 | All Rights Reserved