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Over the past decade (2016–2026), the DFW housing market has demonstrated a strong positive correlation between job creation and home value appreciation, though this link has softened in the last 24 months. Between 2015 and 2025, home prices in cities like Fort Worth rose by a staggering 127%, fueled by a diversified economy that added tens of thousands of jobs annually in sectors like professional services, logistics, and tech. However, in early 2026, while the labor market remains resilient with 130,000 jobs added in January nationwide, median home prices in DFW have dipped by approximately 2.47% year-over-year as inventory hits decade-highs and affordability constraints outpace wage growth.
Book your Home Goals consultation to see how current job trends in your industry affect your DFW home value: https<span></span>://stevenjthomas.com/home-goals
The 10-year historical trend shows that when DFW outpaces national job growth, home prices inevitably follow.
Expansion Phase (2013–2019): During this period, North Texas added an average of 23,600 jobs annually. Home prices responded with steady, healthy appreciation as service-providing sectors accounted for 88% of this growth.
The Hyper-Growth Spike (2020–2022): Pandemic-era migration and low interest rates caused a "gold rush," with home prices increasing 40% in just two years.
Long-Term Equity: From 2015 to 2025, the average annual appreciation in Fort Worth was 8.57%, placing it in the top 20% of U.S. cities for housing value growth.
Despite continued modest job growth in early 2026, the correlation has encountered an "affordability ceiling".
Wage vs. Price: Homebuyers in DFW now need to earn 48% more than they did just six years ago to purchase the same median-priced home.
Inventory Shifts: For the first time since 2012, inventory has climbed to 4.7 months of supply. This shift is moving DFW from an overheated seller's market toward a balanced environment where buyers have more leverage.
The "Lock-In" Effect: Stability is currently maintained by homeowners anchored to ultra-low rates from earlier in the decade, which limits the number of new listings and prevents a sharp price crash.
The types of jobs being created in 2026 are shifting, which in turn shifts the "who and where" of home buying.
Healthcare & Social Assistance: This sector led January 2026 growth with 123,500 jobs. This workforce typically seeks stability in established "Mid-Cities" or suburban hubs.
Construction & Technical Services: These sectors added a combined 60,000+ jobs in January, continuing to fuel demand for new construction in the northern DFW corridors.
Modest Outlook: While job gains exceeded expectations in early 2026, the 12-month average monthly gain has slowed to 30,000 jobs, down from 103,000 in early 2025.
The 10-year study of the DFW market proves that while job growth is the foundation of housing demand, it is not a guarantee of perpetual price hikes. In 2026, we are seeing the market "digest" the massive gains of the last decade. For sellers, this means pricing strategically is now mandatory. For buyers, the 2026 rebalance provides a rare window where job-driven stability remains high, but the "bidding war" frenzy has finally cooled.
10-Year Growth: Median prices in North Texas more than doubled between 2015 and 2025.
2026 Stability: The market is normalizing, with median listing prices currently around $390,125, a slight 2.47% decrease year-over-year.
Inventory Peak: DFW has reached its highest available housing supply since the early 2010s.
Resilient Labor: Employment continues to grow in Construction and Healthcare, providing a backstop against significant price declines.

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I used this realtor and it was a great experience. He was patient and very helpful with our journey. He also helped us find a great lender with little hassle on the process, also got us approved for well above the market of our original home so we were able to get more house with a lower mortgage rate. So to anyone who is interested in buying a home take my advice give Steven a call. It’s worth it 😁


Steve was absolutely amazing! Everything was easy! Very professional in all aspects. Punctual, responsive, and diligent. He goes above and beyond to ensure you get to see as many homes as you’d like no matter the location. Not only was he knowledgeable about home buying, he also has a resourceful network for new home owner needs. I recommend Refind Realty to everyone!


I definitely recommend Steven to assist with your home buying needs. As a first time home buyer the process can be overwhelming, but as my realtor he was knowledgeable & patient while addressing my concerns and assisting me with my new home purchase. Thanks again Steven!! :-)

When buying or selling a home, there are so many options…which can also present a lot of obstacles. Laws change, forms change, and practices change all the time in the real estate industry. Because it’s our job to stay on top of those things, hiring a realtor reduces risk, and can also save you a lot of money in the long run.
When you work with me as your Realtor, you’re getting an expert who knows the area; knows how to skillfully guide your experience as a seller or buyer; can easily spot the difference between a good deal and a great deal. My job is to translate your dream into a real estate reality, and I work hard to earn and keep my business. This also means earning your trust: When you work with me, you’ll be working with a realtor who looks out for your best interests and is invested in your goals.
There are two different types of loans conventional loans and government-backed loans. The main difference is who insures these loans:
1 - Government-backed loans (FHA, VA and USDA):
(a) - Are, unsurprisingly, backed by the government.
(b) - Include FHA loans, VA loans, and USDA loans.
(c) - Make up less than 40 percent of the home loans generated in the U.S. each year.
2 - Conventional loans
(a) - Are not backed by the government.
(b) - Include conforming and non-conforming loans (such as jumbo loans).
(c) - Make up more than 60 percent of the loans generated in the U.S. each year.
1 - FHA LOANS:
FHA loans, which are insured by the Federal Housing Administration, are typically designed to meet the needs of first-time homebuyers with low or moderate incomes. FHA loans can be approved with a down payment of as little as 3.5 percent and a credit score as low as 580.
FHA loans are often called “helper loans,” because they give a leg up to potential borrowers who may not be able to secure one otherwise. For this reason, FHA loans have maximum lending limits, which are determined based on housing values for the county where the for-sale home is located.
Because the agency is taking on more risk by insuring FHA loans, the borrower is expected to pay mortgage insurance both at the time of closing and on a monthly basis, and the property must be owner-occupied.
2 - VA LOANS:
VA loans are backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs and they are guaranteed to qualified veterans and active-duty personnel and their spouses. VA loans can be approved with 100 percent financing, meaning VA borrowers are not required to make a down payment.
Unlike FHA loans, borrowers do not have to pay mortgage insurance on VA loans.
3 - USDA LOANS:
You may also hear about USDA loans, which are backed by the United States Department of Agriculture mortgage program. USDA loans are intended to support homeowners who purchase homes in rural and some suburban areas. USDA loans do not require a down payment and may offer lower interest rates; borrowers may have to pay a small mortgage insurance premium in order to offset the lender’s risk.
Buyers who have a more established credit history and a larger down payment may prefer to apply for a conventional loan. These loans may offer a lower interest rate and only require the home buyer to purchase monthly mortgage insurance while the loan-to-value ratio is above a certain percentage, so a conventional loan borrower can typically save money in the long run.
Conventional loans are divided into two types: Conforming loans and non-conforming loans.
1 - CONFORMING LOANS:
Conforming loans are those that meet (or conform to) predetermined standards set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — two government-sponsored institutions that buy and sell mortgages on the secondary market. By selling the loans to "Fannie and Freddie," lenders can free up their capital and return to issue more mortgages than if they had to personally back every loan that they approve.
The main standard for conforming loans is that the amount borrowed must be under a certain amount; in Alaska, a single-family home loan must be under $647,200 in order to be considered conforming.
Properties with more than one unit have higher limits.
2 - NON-CONFORMING (JUMBO) LOANS:
But what happens if a borrower wants to borrow more than the Freddie- and Fannie-approved loan amount? In this case, they would have to apply for a “jumbo loan,” which is the most common type of non-conforming loan.
Because the lender cannot resell the jumbo loan (or any non-conforming loan) to Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, jumbo loans are considered to be riskier than a conforming loan. To protect against this risk, the bank will typically require a higher down payment; the interest rate on a jumbo loan may also be higher than if the same borrower applied for a conforming loan.
Rate types: Fixed-rate vs. adjustable-rate mortgages.
In addition to the loan type you choose, you’ll also have to determine if you want a fixed-rate mortgage or an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). A fixed-rate mortgage has an interest rate that does not change for the life of the loan, so it provides predictable monthly payments of principal and interest.
An adjustable-rate mortgage typically offers an initial introductory period with a low-interest rate. Once this period is over, the interest rate adjusts periodically, based on the market index. The initial interest rate on an ARM can sometimes be locked in for different periods, such as one, three, five, seven, or 10 years. Once the introductory period is over, the interest rate typically readjusts annually.
Office 1229 E. Pleasant Run Ste 224, DeSoto TX 75115
Call :(713) 505-2280
Email: [email protected]
Site: www.stevenjthomas.com
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